Don't feel like a dope at all. I'm a firm believer it works.
As for the evacuation, what worries me is if she does move further to the east with only minimal effect on Houston/Galveston, that the next time a storm comes through, people won't be as willing to evacuate. On the plus side, the weather people have pointed out that it seems Texas, or at least Houston/Galveston, seem to be on a 22 year cycle for hurricanes. Carla hit in 1961, Alicia hit in 1983 and now Rita in 2005. Three may be enough to establish a pattern. Though with global warming, that may throw the whole thing off and that's never good.
no subject
As for the evacuation, what worries me is if she does move further to the east with only minimal effect on Houston/Galveston, that the next time a storm comes through, people won't be as willing to evacuate. On the plus side, the weather people have pointed out that it seems Texas, or at least Houston/Galveston, seem to be on a 22 year cycle for hurricanes. Carla hit in 1961, Alicia hit in 1983 and now Rita in 2005. Three may be enough to establish a pattern. Though with global warming, that may throw the whole thing off and that's never good.